Remember that the equation came from ADB where risk profiles do not exist so simply copying it across was bound to produce anomalies. The formula is daft in a number of ways.
For one thing it has its measurements in metres when all other exit width measurements are in mms, so many people get confused and put the wrong numbers in. Indeed, if W and S are expressed in mm then the equation becomes
W = 5N + 0.75S
which is a lot easier to calculate and remember.
In your example, Jon, you used different risk profiles at different times of day but what if the stair is shared by different risk profiles at the same time? This is not uncommon. What risk profile do we apply to the stairs?
And what if the stairs are larger than the minimum width required for means of escape purposes, for example for aesthetic reasons. Should we take S to be the required width of the stairs and not the actual width?
And what about this figure N? How do we know how many of the ground floor population are going to choose to exit that way?
For example, if the door into the staircase at ground floor level is 820mm wide and the risk profile is B2 then it has a maximum capacity of 200 (!). Lets suppose that there are 400 people on the ground floor and it has two other exits, one 1800mm wide and the other 1640mm wide. Now the worst case would be the 1800mm exit being lost so how do we apportion the people between the two available exits? 2:1? There are a number of ways of doing it. Maybe, you could say that N = 200 as a worst case scenario so that's the figure that should be used but others might think that you were being rather onerous in doing this.
The thing is, it's not predictable. We're trying to predict a chaotic system by means of a simple and precise formula. This is just not possible so it's bound to be wrong in many ways.
The best we can hope for is that there is some safety margin incorporated into the formula so that however a chaotic evacuation may actually play out, the calculated exit widths will allow people to evacuate in a safe time.
I cannot tell you if this is the case for this formula. If you could let us all in on the derivation of the formula, Brian, that would be very interesting.
I can tell you that at least some of the exit width figures in BS9999 have been demonstrated to be significantly worse than ADB, though whether or not they are dangerous, only time will tell.