I think Civvy's prediction will probably come true at some stage, I feel a little uneasy about these buildings.
Regarding the second link, I had to leave a comment at the bottom of that, which was:
"Whilst making no judgement on the actual performance of timber framed buildings in fire, as a trained statistician I have to agree with the objection to the published document (BDM14). The conclusions it draws are not supported by the evidence presented and the summary and the conclusions are peppered with misleading statements.
For example, in the summary it states, “fires in unprotected wood frame buildings account for over half of all fire fatalities in the US.” On the face of it this is quite a damning statement when considering the use of timber framed buildings and I would judge that it has been presented with this precise objective in mind. But it states elsewhere that 90% of all buildings in the USA are timber framed. Well, it doesn’t take a genius to realise that if 90% of all buildings are timber framed and if the risk from fire is equal in timber framed buildings and in buildings constructed in other ways, then we would expect 90% of fire fatalities in timber framed buildings. The fact that the document refers merely to “over half of all fire fatalities” implies that less than 90% of fire fatalities are in timber framed buildings. This is a good result for timber framed buildings as anything less than 90% means they have less fire fatalities than other forms of construction on a pro rata basis.
The UKTFA post, above, alludes to this and other similar mistakes when it states that a professional statistician would have drawn completely opposite conclusions from the data. But the author of the above post knows that this isn’t quite true because the whole analysis in BDM14 is undermined, as stated in the above post, by the fact that the document is based on an assumption that correlation implies causality. Assuming this is an assumption that there are absolutely no other variables that should be taken into account (i.e. that fire fatality numbers are solely dependent upon the construction materials). I would suggest that there are many, many other variables that should be taken into account (this is a completely different nation, a completely different geography and a completely different culture) and I would observe that the document BDM14 appears to have ignored these.
The document BDM14 is vacuous, naive and, worst of all, misleading. I have no axe to grind and no motivation other than a desire to see the true facts properly presented. I am a fire safety professional and would like to be able to make good judgements on timber framed buildings but document BDM14 is a distraction and an obstacle to the truth and I agree that it should be retracted."
Stu