we're now in the risk assessment age - aren't we?
Yes we are but we still need clues as to how many people can get out of a given exit width in a given time.
There are different figures in different guides but they're all roughly similar....... and that's the point - I've said this before - the figures, wherever you get them from, aren't exact and precise. If a door is 10mm, 20mm or even 50mm narrower than it should be, no one is going to die because of that. If it's 500mm narrower, they might.
No one evacuates in the way that ADB (or the other guides) assume anyway.
So let's just be happy with the "clues" we have, no matter where we get them from. They have stood the test of time with more success than failure (and there have been tragic failures) and are usually conservative.
If you're really interested in the topic read DD9999 first, then move into evacuaton modelling and fire modelling.
Stu